The Development of e-Learning from the Creativity as an Exact Science Point of View

Abstract

Purpose: identify patterns of e-learning development in the past and predict them in the future, which helps managers and instructors of educational institutions to make decisions of the competence and training formation.
Design: Methodology of the analysis and forecasting was the Creativity as an Exact Science especially laws of system evolution: increasing degree of system ideality, transition to a super-system (higher-level system), non-uniform evolution of sub-systems, coordination (harmonization) of rhythms and others.
Findings: e-learning evolution is completely consistent with the laws listed. Comparative analysis shows similarities and differences between e-learning and distance learning technologies. The forecast of the further development of e-learning also shows the major problems that can impede it, in particular, the significant differences in the speed of changes for example. Necessities of employers and society change quickly, whereas teachers usually understand the changes slowly. Synchronization of the rhythms is a key factor of the educational organization success in the future, and the educational organization management is fully responsible for it. It is shown that e-learning is becoming a mandatory part of the training at all. However the teacher's role remains the most important, although affected.
Originality and Value: the practical application of the forecast are the reasonable decisions of the competence and training formation. Forecast of the e-learning radi-cal expansion, on the one hand, is not new; on the other hand originality is in the justification of the total e-learning "capture" not only in education, but also in several related areas of activity.
Paper Category: Research work / Conceptual paper.